For decades, the first occurrence of the supply and demand for imported cars double down. January-February, the supply of imported cars either channel or customs imports have suffered a marked decline in the overall market decline of 19%.
This year, the depth inventory of imported cars is even higher than in 2012, is expected to adjust the time was longer than 6-9 months. So, 2015 should be a veritable imported cars in inventory adjustments, there may be throughout the year 'destocking', which is a very serious topic.
January, parallel import data, that the proportion of customs import data also showed a downward trend. "The price is almost, you do not have the advantage of parallel imports, so the number and size of the parallel importation of view, this will not be higher than last year," said the king kept.
2015 imported car market is facing great challenges, according to Wang, senior manager of national deposit machine Automobile Co. marketing analysis: the current market situation facing, "is the most severe in the history of a moment." Whether imported cars from January to February supply channels or customs imports are significant decline.
"This is what I entered the car industry for more than a decade since the first time I saw that the supply and demand double down" this week, Wang said China Economic Net deposit reporters. In 2012, there have been about six months supply at more than 20% of the decline, but demand was relatively stable base. Currently emerging market predicament, multinational corporations need more tips and understanding, and by adjusting the supply to make it more balanced.
From the data, the January sales end display, down more than 20%; February because of the Chinese New Year holiday factors, sales have failed to recover. However, compared with last year's Spring Festival, a larger decline this year. January-February, the overall market fell by 19%. "The margin is quite large," Wang deposit think.
From the supply perspective, the customs import volume fell 13 percent in January, February, final data has not come out, probably around six million, eighty thousand units compared to last year, down more than 20%. For now, still need to market restructuring, but it is difficult to see results in the short term. "From 2012 the historical experience, the high supply of inventory digestion may need to bring 6-9 months, and this year is even higher than the depth of inventory in 2012, it is expected that the adjustment time is longer than this." Wang deposit "So, this year should be a veritable imported cars in inventory adjustment may be throughout the year 'destocking', which is a very serious topic."
On the demand side, facing a slowdown in economic growth overall, with the Chinese economy has entered a "new normal", GDP growth rate is maintained at 7% level has gradually become a consensus. For the real economy, especially to do business will find difficult economy, luxury car market demand will be more obvious impact. "If there is a recovery in the second quarter, I think you would be a good change."
Turning to the most fiery "Shanghai FTA parallel import" topic, Wang Cun said: No matter the amount of media exposure, or more than the experts say, is also very popular, but "to take a dispassionate look." By January of parallel imports data, namely customs import data, which also showed the proportion of decline.
"Last year, one hundred thousand scale of parallel imports, compared to 1.4 million last year, imported cars account for about seven percent of the share, but sources are gradually brought under control car because multinationals learned after the parallel importation of 'sunshine' have adopted international or regional markets in each country control, which will have an impact on parallel importation. "said Wang Cun.
Turning to the issue of parallel imports, he believes, on the one hand is the brand management approach in the adjustment, on the other hand imports from the United States or the major neighboring countries, if it is registered vehicles are not allowed to be sold in the Chinese market. In January, the Japanese brand cars imported from the Middle East, the share of more than 80%, so the impact of US regulations car imports, the recent policies after landing there will be a recovery.
"Even Toyota is probably the main parallel imports, but beware, the Prado 2700 has been determined to be domestic, March listing price is relatively low, the entry of manual models may be 360,000 yuan, automatic transmission equipped models in about 380,000 yuan , with the highest estimated 420,000 yuan, the price of basic and almost parallel imports. "Wang Cun said," the price is almost, you do not have the advantage of parallel imports, so the number and size of the parallel importation of view, this year than last year will not be high. "
FTA announced 17 pilot enterprises, the real source of cars from the grasp of view, may be in a trading company in Tianjin, other companies are more new entrants, both in vendors, distributors or in the resources of the entire chain "inexperienced."
"FTA this market, look hot, but in 2015, once parallel imports fall, we all lose, to have a clear understanding of the parallel import car is not so hot." Said Wang Cun.
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